From 9d155feb9ce8c3b2e0fcf7a33c2193d625f1641d Mon Sep 17 00:00:00 2001
From: mmorge <maxime.morge@univ-lyon1.fr>
Date: Sat, 12 Apr 2025 12:06:16 +0200
Subject: [PATCH] Improve the figures for the assessment of beliefs with Pagoda
---
figures/guess/guess_2loop_models.svg | 193 ++++++++-------
figures/guess/guess_2loop_strategies.svg | 201 +++++++++-------
figures/guess/guess_3loop_models.svg | 239 +++++++++++--------
figures/guess/guess_3loop_strategies.svg | 249 ++++++++++++--------
figures/guess/guess_constant_models.svg | 138 +++++------
figures/guess/guess_constant_strategies.svg | 110 ++++-----
src/guess/guess_draw_2loop.py | 31 ++-
src/guess/guess_draw_3loop.py | 50 ++--
src/guess/guess_draw_constant.py | 25 +-
9 files changed, 708 insertions(+), 528 deletions(-)
diff --git a/figures/guess/guess_2loop_models.svg b/figures/guess/guess_2loop_models.svg
index 89aa476..702204c 100644
--- a/figures/guess/guess_2loop_models.svg
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- <use xlink:href="#m89e61db13b" x="90" y="51.84" style="stroke: #000000; stroke-width: 0.8"/>
+ <use xlink:href="#m1469989a48" x="90" y="51.84" style="stroke: #000000; stroke-width: 0.8"/>
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@@ -1229,7 +1229,7 @@ L 462 51.84
L 524 51.84
L 586 51.84
L 648 51.84
-" clip-path="url(#p83a1b9e3fd)" style="fill: none; stroke: #7abaff; stroke-width: 1.5; stroke-linecap: square"/>
+" clip-path="url(#p363dd14960)" style="fill: none; stroke: #7abaff; stroke-width: 1.5; stroke-linecap: square"/>
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<path d="M 90 218.16
@@ -1242,7 +1242,7 @@ L 462 384.48
L 524 384.48
L 586 384.48
L 648 384.48
-" clip-path="url(#p83a1b9e3fd)" style="fill: none; stroke: #4b9f7d; stroke-width: 1.5; stroke-linecap: square"/>
+" clip-path="url(#p363dd14960)" style="fill: none; stroke-dasharray: 1.5,2.475; stroke-dashoffset: 0; stroke: #4b9f7d; stroke-width: 1.5"/>
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<path d="M 90 366.972632
@@ -1255,7 +1255,7 @@ L 462 51.84
L 524 51.84
L 586 51.84
L 648 51.84
-" clip-path="url(#p83a1b9e3fd)" style="fill: none; stroke: #ff6941; stroke-width: 1.5; stroke-linecap: square"/>
+" clip-path="url(#p363dd14960)" style="fill: none; stroke-dasharray: 5.55,2.4; stroke-dashoffset: 0; stroke: #ff6941; stroke-width: 1.5"/>
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@@ -1268,7 +1268,7 @@ L 462 384.48
L 524 384.48
L 586 384.48
L 648 384.48
-" clip-path="url(#p83a1b9e3fd)" style="fill: none; stroke: #f1a61a; stroke-width: 1.5; stroke-linecap: square"/>
+" clip-path="url(#p363dd14960)" style="fill: none; stroke-dasharray: 5.55,2.4; stroke-dashoffset: 0; stroke: #f1a61a; stroke-width: 1.5"/>
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<path d="M 90 384.48
@@ -1593,7 +1593,7 @@ z
<path d="M 425.2375 79.616563
L 435.2375 79.616563
L 445.2375 79.616563
-" style="fill: none; stroke: #4b9f7d; stroke-width: 1.5; stroke-linecap: square"/>
+" style="fill: none; stroke-dasharray: 1.5,2.475; stroke-dashoffset: 0; stroke: #4b9f7d; stroke-width: 1.5"/>
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<g id="text_21">
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@@ -1643,7 +1643,7 @@ z
<path d="M 425.2375 94.294688
L 435.2375 94.294688
L 445.2375 94.294688
-" style="fill: none; stroke: #ff6941; stroke-width: 1.5; stroke-linecap: square"/>
+" style="fill: none; stroke-dasharray: 5.55,2.4; stroke-dashoffset: 0; stroke: #ff6941; stroke-width: 1.5"/>
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@@ -1676,7 +1676,7 @@ L 445.2375 94.294688
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L 445.2375 108.972813
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<!-- mixtral:8x7b strategy -->
@@ -1725,7 +1725,7 @@ z
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<defs>
- <clipPath id="p83a1b9e3fd">
+ <clipPath id="p363dd14960">
<rect x="90" y="51.84" width="558" height="332.64"/>
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</defs>
diff --git a/src/guess/guess_draw_2loop.py b/src/guess/guess_draw_2loop.py
index f16956f..b3e190c 100644
--- a/src/guess/guess_draw_2loop.py
+++ b/src/guess/guess_draw_2loop.py
@@ -37,6 +37,25 @@ color_palette = {
'random': '#000000',
}
+# Linestyle palette
+linestyle_dict = {
+ 'gpt-4.5-preview-2025-02-27': 'solid',
+ 'gpt-4.5-preview-2025-02-27 strategy': 'solid',
+ 'llama3': 'dotted',
+ 'llama3 strategy': 'dotted',
+ 'llama3.3:latest': 'dotted',
+ 'llama3.3:latest strategy': 'dotted',
+ 'mistral-small': 'dashed',
+ 'mistral-small strategy': 'dashed',
+ 'mixtral:8x7b': 'dashed',
+ 'mixtral:8x7b strategy': 'dashed',
+ 'deepseek-r1': 'dashdot',
+ 'deepseek-r1 strategy': 'dashdot',
+ 'deepseek-r1:7b': 'dashdot',
+ 'deepseek-r1:7b strategy': 'dashdot',
+ 'random': 'solid',
+}
+
# Aggregate data
agg_data = df_filtered.groupby(["model", "idRound"]).agg(
mean_outcome=("outcomeRound", "mean"),
@@ -53,8 +72,9 @@ model_only = agg_data[~agg_data["model"].str.contains("strategy")]
for model in model_only["model"].unique():
df_model = model_only[model_only["model"] == model]
color = color_palette.get(model, '#63656a')
+ linestyle = linestyle_dict.get(model, 'solid')
- plt.plot(df_model["idRound"], df_model["mean_outcome"], label=model, color=color)
+ plt.plot(df_model["idRound"], df_model["mean_outcome"], label=model, color=color, linestyle=linestyle)
plt.fill_between(df_model["idRound"],
df_model["mean_outcome"] - df_model["ci95"],
df_model["mean_outcome"] + df_model["ci95"],
@@ -63,7 +83,7 @@ for model in model_only["model"].unique():
plt.xlim(1, 10)
plt.xlabel("Round Number")
plt.ylabel("Average Points Earned")
-plt.title("Model Performance Against Constant Strategies")
+plt.title("Model Performance Against Cyclic Strategies")
plt.legend()
plt.grid(True)
plt.ylim(0, 1)
@@ -78,8 +98,9 @@ strategy_only = agg_data[agg_data["model"].str.contains("strategy")]
for model in strategy_only["model"].unique():
df_model = strategy_only[strategy_only["model"] == model]
color = color_palette.get(model, '#63656a')
+ linestyle = linestyle_dict.get(model, 'dashed')
- plt.plot(df_model["idRound"], df_model["mean_outcome"], label=model, color=color)
+ plt.plot(df_model["idRound"], df_model["mean_outcome"], label=model, color=color, linestyle=linestyle)
plt.fill_between(df_model["idRound"],
df_model["mean_outcome"] - df_model["ci95"],
df_model["mean_outcome"] + df_model["ci95"],
@@ -88,8 +109,8 @@ for model in strategy_only["model"].unique():
plt.xlim(1, 10)
plt.xlabel("Round Number")
plt.ylabel("Average Points Earned")
-plt.title("Model Strategies vs Constant Behaviour")
+plt.title("Model Strategies vs Cyclic Behaviour")
plt.legend()
plt.grid(True)
plt.ylim(0, 1)
-plt.savefig('../../figures/guess/guess_2loop_strategies.svg', format='svg')
+plt.savefig('../../figures/guess/guess_2loop_strategies.svg', format='svg')
\ No newline at end of file
diff --git a/src/guess/guess_draw_3loop.py b/src/guess/guess_draw_3loop.py
index e8f8b2d..66939dc 100644
--- a/src/guess/guess_draw_3loop.py
+++ b/src/guess/guess_draw_3loop.py
@@ -1,20 +1,3 @@
-import pandas as pd
-import numpy as np
-import matplotlib.pyplot as plt
-
-# Path to the CSV file
-CSV_FILE_PATH = "../../data/guess/guess.csv"
-
-# Load the data
-df = pd.read_csv(CSV_FILE_PATH)
-
-# Convert necessary columns to appropriate types
-df["idRound"] = df["idRound"].astype(int)
-df["outcomeRound"] = df["outcomeRound"].astype(float)
-
-# List of opponent strategies to consider
-opponent_strategies = ["R-P-S"]
-
import pandas as pd
import matplotlib.pyplot as plt
import numpy as np
@@ -54,6 +37,25 @@ color_palette = {
'random': '#000000',
}
+# Linestyle palette
+linestyle_dict = {
+ 'gpt-4.5-preview-2025-02-27': 'solid',
+ 'gpt-4.5-preview-2025-02-27 strategy': 'solid',
+ 'llama3': 'dotted',
+ 'llama3 strategy': 'dotted',
+ 'llama3.3:latest': 'dotted',
+ 'llama3.3:latest strategy': 'dotted',
+ 'mistral-small': 'dashed',
+ 'mistral-small strategy': 'dashed',
+ 'mixtral:8x7b': 'dashed',
+ 'mixtral:8x7b strategy': 'dashed',
+ 'deepseek-r1': 'dashdot',
+ 'deepseek-r1 strategy': 'dashdot',
+ 'deepseek-r1:7b': 'dashdot',
+ 'deepseek-r1:7b strategy': 'dashdot',
+ 'random': 'solid',
+}
+
# Aggregate data
agg_data = df_filtered.groupby(["model", "idRound"]).agg(
mean_outcome=("outcomeRound", "mean"),
@@ -70,8 +72,10 @@ model_only = agg_data[~agg_data["model"].str.contains("strategy")]
for model in model_only["model"].unique():
df_model = model_only[model_only["model"] == model]
color = color_palette.get(model, '#63656a')
+ linestyle = linestyle_dict.get(model, 'solid') # <-- Add this line
- plt.plot(df_model["idRound"], df_model["mean_outcome"], label=model, color=color)
+ plt.plot(df_model["idRound"], df_model["mean_outcome"],
+ label=model, color=color, linestyle=linestyle) # <-- Apply linestyle here
plt.fill_between(df_model["idRound"],
df_model["mean_outcome"] - df_model["ci95"],
df_model["mean_outcome"] + df_model["ci95"],
@@ -80,13 +84,12 @@ for model in model_only["model"].unique():
plt.xlim(1, 10)
plt.xlabel("Round Number")
plt.ylabel("Average Points Earned")
-plt.title("Model Performance Against Constant Strategies")
+plt.title("Model Performance Against Cyclic Strategy (R-P-S)")
plt.legend()
plt.grid(True)
plt.ylim(0, 1)
plt.savefig('../../figures/guess/guess_3loop_models.svg', format='svg')
-
### --- Second Figure: Strategies (models with 'strategy' in name) ---
plt.figure(figsize=(10, 6))
@@ -95,8 +98,9 @@ strategy_only = agg_data[agg_data["model"].str.contains("strategy")]
for model in strategy_only["model"].unique():
df_model = strategy_only[strategy_only["model"] == model]
color = color_palette.get(model, '#63656a')
+ linestyle = linestyle_dict.get(model, 'dashed')
- plt.plot(df_model["idRound"], df_model["mean_outcome"], label=model, color=color)
+ plt.plot(df_model["idRound"], df_model["mean_outcome"], label=model, color=color, linestyle=linestyle)
plt.fill_between(df_model["idRound"],
df_model["mean_outcome"] - df_model["ci95"],
df_model["mean_outcome"] + df_model["ci95"],
@@ -105,8 +109,8 @@ for model in strategy_only["model"].unique():
plt.xlim(1, 10)
plt.xlabel("Round Number")
plt.ylabel("Average Points Earned")
-plt.title("Model Strategies vs Constant Behaviour")
+plt.title("Model Strategies vs Cyclic Behaviour (R-P-S)")
plt.legend()
plt.grid(True)
plt.ylim(0, 1)
-plt.savefig('../../figures/guess/guess_3loop_strategies.svg', format='svg')
+plt.savefig('../../figures/guess/guess_3loop_strategies.svg', format='svg')
\ No newline at end of file
diff --git a/src/guess/guess_draw_constant.py b/src/guess/guess_draw_constant.py
index a399ead..dd642ef 100644
--- a/src/guess/guess_draw_constant.py
+++ b/src/guess/guess_draw_constant.py
@@ -37,6 +37,25 @@ color_palette = {
'random': '#000000',
}
+# Linestyle palette (cycling through styles)
+linestyle_dict = {
+ 'gpt-4.5-preview-2025-02-27': 'solid',
+ 'gpt-4.5-preview-2025-02-27 strategy': 'solid',
+ 'llama3': 'dotted',
+ 'llama3 strategy': 'dotted',
+ 'llama3.3:latest': 'dotted',
+ 'llama3.3:latest strategy': 'dotted',
+ 'mistral-small': 'dashed',
+ 'mistral-small strategy': 'dashed',
+ 'mixtral:8x7b': 'dashed',
+ 'mixtral:8x7b strategy': 'dashed',
+ 'deepseek-r1': 'dashdot',
+ 'deepseek-r1 strategy': 'dashdot',
+ 'deepseek-r1:7b': 'dashdot',
+ 'deepseek-r1:7b strategy': 'dashdot',
+ 'random': 'solid',
+}
+
# Aggregate data
agg_data = df_filtered.groupby(["model", "idRound"]).agg(
mean_outcome=("outcomeRound", "mean"),
@@ -53,8 +72,9 @@ model_only = agg_data[~agg_data["model"].str.contains("strategy")]
for model in model_only["model"].unique():
df_model = model_only[model_only["model"] == model]
color = color_palette.get(model, '#63656a')
+ linestyle = linestyle_dict.get(model, 'solid')
- plt.plot(df_model["idRound"], df_model["mean_outcome"], label=model, color=color)
+ plt.plot(df_model["idRound"], df_model["mean_outcome"], label=model, color=color, linestyle=linestyle)
plt.fill_between(df_model["idRound"],
df_model["mean_outcome"] - df_model["ci95"],
df_model["mean_outcome"] + df_model["ci95"],
@@ -78,8 +98,9 @@ strategy_only = agg_data[agg_data["model"].str.contains("strategy")]
for model in strategy_only["model"].unique():
df_model = strategy_only[strategy_only["model"] == model]
color = color_palette.get(model, '#63656a')
+ linestyle = linestyle_dict.get(model, 'dashed')
- plt.plot(df_model["idRound"], df_model["mean_outcome"], label=model, color=color)
+ plt.plot(df_model["idRound"], df_model["mean_outcome"], label=model, color=color, linestyle=linestyle)
plt.fill_between(df_model["idRound"],
df_model["mean_outcome"] - df_model["ci95"],
df_model["mean_outcome"] + df_model["ci95"],
--
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